Opinion: Exploring energy options
W ith Boulder voters approval of Ballot Issue 2B by more
than a 2-1 margin the exploratory process got started at the Dec. 21 City
Council study session. In brief, the proposed energy strategy focuses on local
integration of supply and demand so as to maximize the value and minimize the
cost of renewable energy. There seem to be two possible legal/regulatory
strategies to support this outcome — either have a fundamentally new
arrangement with Xcel, that would not be a standard franchise, or create a
municipal electric utility that would be independent of Xcel and the PUC.
The reasoning is simple — the city does not have the
authority to do most of what is needed without pursuing one legal strategy or
the other. For example, the only obvious way around the objections by Fannie
Mae and Freddie Mac to imposing liens on properties for bond-financed energy
improvement loans is to collect through the utility bills, but that requires a
special agreement with Xcel. Or if the city invested in an eastern Colorado wind
farm financed through a public-private partnership (using tax-exempt bonds with
the tax credits going to private parties), the power would have to be
“wheeled,” which the city cannot do under current regulations. Or if a
commercial property owner wanted to take advantage of the economies of scale
and build a PV array on one building large enough to serve multiple buildings,
again Xcel would have to agree since this would violate the current limit for
such a project of 120 percent of individual load, and it would require net
metering of multiple structures. This list goes on and on — almost every
project would require a new arrangement not allowed under the current
situation.
So could the first legal strategy — a new arrangement
with Xcel — really work? It`s possible, but there are significant risks. First,
Xcel can afford to propose a loss-leader sweetheart deal (at a temporary cost
to its stockholders), and then when the momentum for creating a municipal
utility has dissipated, raise the rates. Second, Xcel has a history of
resisting transparency, so any pricing data would be suspect. For example, Xcel
has once again put off meeting the recent Windsource settlement requirements
for cost transparency. Third, Xcel may simply buy off any competitors once a
deal is made, so that all the other options would be foreclosed in the future.
And we should not forget that Xcel just completed a huge coal fired power
plant, built right in the face of global warming.
There are also political issues. If the Xcel option stays
open after November 2011, it is entirely possible that Xcel will expend large
amounts of money on the next City Council election so as to have a council that
gives them what they want. Given their involvement in the Berthoud
municipalization election, and around $100 million of annual electric sales in
Boulder, Xcel has an investment worth spending money on.
An iron-clad escape clause might be required to make an Xcel
deal acceptable, especially given that there will inevitably be changes
required over time. For example, the term might be three years, extended only
by mutual agreement. (Of course, if the council did the extending, Xcel would
still have a strong interest in influencing all subsequent elections.) If the
deal were not extended, then Xcel would agree to sell the distribution system
(the wires, poles, substations, transformers, etc.) to the city for the amount
that Xcel still has in the system, what it gets its “rate base” return on.
Because Xcel has continually expressed that there will be significant
additional generation capacity needed within five years or so, they would
abandon any other claims, including that Boulder`s departure would strand
existing plants. With $1.3 billion of new gas plants planned under “Clean Air,
Clean Jobs” Xcel certainly has plenty of flexibility. Boulder would only agree
to buy any wind or solar projects or other improvements that Xcel built or
contracted for on the city`s behalf.
An arrangement like this would allow the city to be
independent of Xcel`s control, while at the same time protecting the other Xcel
ratepayers. So Xcel would come out whole, and the city would have the freedom
required to keep making the best choices into the future. I will be writing on
the other alternatives in upcoming pieces.