Opinion: Our energy future
The Clean Air Clean Jobs
Act (CACJA), passed by the Colorado Legislature in 2010, could end up
committing us to a future tied to coal. This may seem counter-intuitive, since
CACJA will lead to early retirement of some Metro-area coal fired power plants,
and their replacement with cleaner gas fired plants.
Here`s the problem: CACJA
ended up requiring us to pay Xcel the remaining balance due on the Metro-area
coal plants, even though they will be retired before their useful lifetimes
end. This is not a huge financial burden, as the early retirement is only a few
years on average. But, in the process of implementing CACJA, the Public
Utilities Commission approved Xcel Energy`s request to invest about $380
million to upgrade nearly 750 MW of non-Metro-area coal plants, and these
plants have lifetimes extending out to 2041 for the biggest one. If these
plants are then shut down relatively soon because we want less CO2 emissions,
we`ll have to pay twice – once for coal upgrade and once for renewables.
Another hit will come from the nearly $1 billion tied up in Xcel`s portion of
the new Comanche3 coal fired power plant, which has a 60 year projected life.
So Xcel`s coal investments create a strong financial disincentive to converting
to a mostly renewable energy future.
There is also a technical
issue. Coal fired power plants don`t work well with high levels of renewable
energy. Coal plants are very costly and their output cannot easily be adjusted,
so they generally operate at full power 24/7; that`s why they are called “baseload”
plants. But the most common forms of renewable energy are inherently variable –
the sun goes behind clouds, and wind speeds up and slows down.
Wind, which in Colorado
blows more at night, and solar, a daytime source, match up reasonably well and
thus can usually supply most of the demand during a given 24 hour period.
Therefore, as renewable energy prices drop and we convert to more clean energy,
we will need backup power to fill in the gaps, and to handle the times when
renewables are not generating power and other options are exhausted. What we
don`t need is large amounts of 24/7 coal-fired baseload power.
To address the variability
of renewable energy sources, there are a number of options: Demand can be
adjusted to follow the supply, e.g. by having switches on commercial air
conditioners that the utility can turn on and off as needed. (This also reduces
peak load, thereby reducing the capital cost of backup energy sources.) Gas
turbine power plants can follow renewable energy`s fluctuations; they can be
cranked up or down very quickly. Gas plants are also very efficient and emit
much less CO2 than coal. Other options include using banks of batteries
(becoming cheaper by the month), pumped storage (requiring two reservoirs, one
above the other, like above Georgetown), or even making ice at night to use for
cooling during the day. Other renewable supply sources, such as methane
generators at waste treatment plants, can be used to fill in the gaps. Finally,
energy efficiency is the most important investment, as it reduces total load
and therefore the cost of both renewables and backup generation.
Colorado needs a long-term
plan that identifies the most cost-effective path to achieve a very high level
of renewable energy. This means not investing in baseload coal plants (also,
coal prices have been escalating rapidly, and coal supplies are becoming more
inaccessible) but instead putting our money in energy efficiency, demand
management, gas backup generation, storage, and local generation sources that
can work to support wind and solar.
Every city that has a
franchise with Xcel should make an issue of not investing any more money in
coal plants. The Legislature should set aside the $380 million coal investment
that is part of PUC-approved plan, and direct the Public Utilities Commission
to focus their next Resource Plan on a long-term renewables-based strategy. The
Legislature should also consider lifting the current 2 percent rate impact
limit on renewable energy investment, and require Xcel to pay for independent
renewable energy using the same high rate of return we now pay Xcel for fossil
fuel plants. If we act now, we can, over the long term, save both money and the
environment.