Opinion: Moving forward on the “muni”
On Tuesday night the Boulder City Council discussed the
report on the potential for Boulder to create its own municipal electric
utility, like Longmont, Fort Collins and many other Colorado cities. The conclusion
of the report was that a muni could deliver rates competitive with or below
Xcel’s, a lot more renewable energy and much lower GHG emissions, and as good
or better reliability, all on a solid financial basis, assuming that Boulder
does not have to pay Xcel an exorbitant amount for “stranded costs.”
The modeling results compared a number of different
options. A critical aspect was to ensure that the Xcel “baseline” option, to
which the muni options were compared, was conservative. So the Xcel option was
given the benefit of the doubt on whether Xcel’s planned $3.5 billion capital
investment program was fully incorporated into rate projections for Xcel, and
whether coal costs will continue to rise faster than Xcel’s official estimates.
The Low Cost and the Low Cost/No Coal options were very
appealing. They optimized a mix of wind, solar, electricity spot market
purchases and power purchase agreements with gas generators so as to minimize
total costs. (Many energy providers have already contacted the city, so there
are real providers ready to bid.) The No Coal option was further constrained by
eliminating spot market purchases that could be partially coal powered. The
results were that renewable energy increased quickly to 50-60 percent, CO2
emissions were reduced by more than half from current levels, and rates were
below those projected for the Xcel option. These levels do not count on
additional extensions of the tax credits, etc. All the renewable energy prices
were based on investment in new facilities, so no one is being deprived of
existing renewables if Boulder becomes a municipal utility.
Fugitive methane from gas drilling is a real issue, and
the options address it. For example, by 2037 the Low Cost option is less than
40 percent gas, whereas Xcel, per their 2011 resource plan, will be at 51
percent gas plus 20 percent coal. Further, a muni can contract with its
independent power producers to buy gas from drillers who use Best Available
Technology and Best Practices to limit fugitive emissions, water and air
pollution, and other environmental impacts.
Another important point made was that although investing
in increased energy efficiency and demand management may raise the per Kwh
cost, it could lower bills, since total consumption would be reduced, and
efficiency is a very cost-effective investment/resource. Thus, although the
Lowest GHGs/Increased Efficiency option came out with slightly higher rates
than Xcel, in the end, it would likely be both the cheapest for the ratepayer
and the most environmentally benign. It is definitely worth further
exploration, as some council members noted.
A question was asked as to whether ratepayers, whether
inside or outside the City, should have a choice about being part of the muni.
It’s interesting that this issue is being raised now, whereas in 2001, when
Xcel took over Public Service Company of Colorado, and rates, which had been
going down, started going up, no one asserted that they should have been given
the right to get power elsewhere. Also, it’s not unheard of for muni’s to have
out-of-city customers; Fort Collins has had them for decades.
Finally, some are pushing for a citizen task force, made
up of Xcel and city appointees, to look for opportunities for “partnership.” To
avoid this becoming like Congress, wasting months with no product other than
nasty press releases, it needs a tight timeline. And there are some fundamental
issues that will need to be resolved: First, real partnerships require
equality, and frankly Xcel is the “800-pound gorilla” , with huge clout at the
Legislature and the PUC. Second, any partnership arrangement needs to be
replicable, so that whatever Boulder works out is available to other cities.
Third, if other cities go green (as I expect, and survey data supports), then
the PUC and the Legislature will finally have to address the probability that
Xcel’s coal plants (including those to be refurbished under the Clean Air Clean
Jobs Act) will be stranded for lack of customers. Xcel needs to decide if it
really wants to become a utility of the future and implement the innovations it
claims it wants from Boulder, because a real partnership will result in radical
changes in how energy is delivered.