Opinion: Stop the privatization of U.S. 36
Building the U.S. 36 HOV lane is important, but the
privatization approach is a huge mistake. CDOT is setting up a no-win
situation: the goals of private business are to maximize revenues (from tolls);
to minimize costs (on snow removal and maintenance); to limit risk (by
financing its investment by selling bonds, and thus reduce its exposure); and
to avoid downsides (by eliminating free HOV2, and obstructing innovation that
might reduce toll revenues). The public’s goals are exactly the opposite.
This arrangement is nothing like a multi-year lease for
a restaurant, where the terms are pretty standard, good deals can be struck
because competition is strong, and the leased space is not a critical public
asset. This is a one-time 50-year no-exit monopoly on essential infrastructure.
Worse, the concessionaire is collecting tolls on one lane but doing the
maintenance on all lanes, creating an inherent conflict. With a 600-page
Concession Agreement plus numerous side agreements (guaranteeing years of
expensive lawyers’ fees) and with highly paid executives on the other side
(with vast experience at writing contracts to their benefit), the public will
almost certainly come out second best.
The behavior of CDOT and its High Performance
Transportation Enterprise (HPTE) division has been appalling. First they said
that the agreements are too secret to disclose. Then, after being pressured,
they reversed course and made public most of the Concession Agreement, but not
the financials. Then in a Wednesday’s Denver Post article, it was revealed that
the Goldman Sachs investors will see all the documents, with no exceptions.
CDOT should make all the documents public, including detailed long-term
projections of traffic counts, toll collections and rates of return. Without
these, we have no idea how high the profits could go; I noted an already
outrageous 13-plus percent return figure in HPTE’s Summary.
We also need to understand the financial
inter-relationships between CDOT, HPTE, the concessionaire, its international
owners, and the Federal government, which is loaning a lot of the money.
Apparently the concessionaire, Plenary Roads Denver (PRD), is separate legally
entity whose assets and liabilities are distinct from its owners. PRD intends
to raise capital by selling bonds (actually issued by HPTE), so it could end up
with very little skin in the game, kind of like the securitization of housing
loans that put us into the Great Recession. So if PRD has financial
difficulties, there may be no significant assets to pay off the Fed loans, and
we may end up on the hook, negating one of the alleged benefits of this
“privatization”.
Policy changes at the state level could disrupt the
whole arrangement. The state could intelligently shift from general taxes to
user fees to fund most state and local transportation. This would force RTD to
raise its rates, since its approximately 80 percent tax subsidy would shrink.
Under the agreement, that would push up the minimum tolls, providing more
profits to PRD. Or, the Feds might change policy to allow tolling on all
existing interstate lanes.
The HPTE board is involved in approving any toll
increases (the maximum starts at almost $28 for a two-way trip.) But what are
their criteria? Will the process be public? Will their decisions be subject to
judicial or legislative review? The PUC process is Byzantine enough as it
attempts to regulate private monopolies like Xcel — we’ll see a lot worse
nonsense here.
There are financing alternatives for this piece of the
funding that don’t involve privatization. For example, if the rules for setting
the tolls were clear so that investors actually knew what they were getting
into, then the state could issue revenue bonds, or even do a real
Public-Public-Partnership, where citizens willing take on the risk get the
rewards. A district-based auto registration fee, like the 2009 FASTER fee,
could backstop the cash flow to reduce risk. Development impact fees could
easily secure the debt; if they were in place, the cash would already be
available. With any of these approaches, or actually putting something on the
ballot, private sector involvement would be avoided, and the citizens could
maintain control of our infrastructure.