Opinion: Dealing with the ‘housing crisis’
For the last 50 years at least, Boulder has had a
“housing crisis.” Our housing has always been more expensive than in our
neighboring cities. We started with a fantastic natural setting and a stable
economy because of CU and the federal labs. Boulder’s desirability increased
with the Blue Line preventing development on the mountain backdrop, our open
space limiting urban sprawl, and our 55-foot height limit preserving views.
But over that time period, we went from a town with 30th
Street being dirt and a turkey farm at the Williams Village site, to a booming
employment center with jobs growing faster than housing. The current high-tech
craze, exemplified by Google, escalated the already rapid increase in housing
prices, with multimillion dollar cash offers, and the scraping of modest
single-family homes and local service businesses and replacing them with
McMansions, high-rise apartments, and giant office and hotel complexes.
The city’s studies have shown that new, market-rate
housing, whether owner-occupied or rental, is now too expensive even for people
significantly over the area median income. So if our goal is to maintain
something like our population’s current economic diversity, over 50 percent of
all new housing will need to be permanently price-controlled, including granny
flats and garage apartments.
In addition, the continued job growth, combined with the
demand from people who would just like to move here, means that the market is
insatiable — there is far too much demand to have any reasonable increase in
supply make much difference in the price of housing. Simply put, building more
market-priced housing won’t help much at all.
Some have argued that building more housing here would
decrease our commuting traffic. But a lot of the people who work here want
single-family houses, which is why they live in the east county where those
houses can still be bought at relatively reasonable prices. And there is no
significant amount of vacant land left here to build them, even including the
Planning Reserve, northeast of U.S. 36, at least not relative to the demand.
Also, most auto trips are not commute trips, and so instead of our morning and
evening rush hours, we’d have continuous traffic jams. We have to face the
truth — we can’t absorb much more growth without having things get really
unpleasant, like in other big cities. (And, in any case, the City Council should
require new development to fully mitigate its traffic impacts, to keep
congestion from gridlocking us.)
The idea of a “regional solution” has also been
proposed, meaning asking the other cities to absorb the housing demand, while
we get all the jobs. But they wouldn’t even consider this without some
contentious tax-sharing plan. Far better would be to have businesses that want
to expand move to these other cities, and allow Boulder to return to its roots
as a place for startups. This would both reduce commuting and automatically share
the tax benefits, such as those might be.
“Community land trusts” have been proposed as the magic
bullet. But the only local model, the Colorado Community Land Trust in Denver,
depended on getting free land, which doesn’t exist here, and free water and
sewer tap fees, a cost to existing residents and businesses.
The current move by the City Council to increase the
required percentage of permanently affordable housing in new residential
development is a good first step. But the maximum they can extract, given the
economics, is about 25 percent, less than half what is needed just to stay even
on economic diversity. To get above 50 percent will require significantly
increasing the jobs-housing linkage fee charged to new commercial development.
The council recently set this at a pathetically low $12 a square foot, about a
third of what the residential developers will pay, and a tiny fraction of what
is needed. Obviously, this needs to be increased.
Once we have dealt with new development, we can address
existing development. We can down-zone areas that have existing affordable
housing, and that will preserve some. But ultimately, we will have to decide
whether we want to spend a lot of our money over a long time to “buy down”
existing housing — paying the owners to accept deed restrictions or other legal
devices that would hold the price increases down to around inflation levels.
But this is a decision that should be put to the voters once the council has
taken all these other steps. After all, it’s our city, and we should decide
what kind of city it’s going to be.