Opinion: Let’s build flood protection before the next flood
I’m part of a group of citizens helping Boulder city staff on the master plan for stormwater and flood protection work for Boulder’s waterways, other than South Boulder Creek.
Just last week, we had some
interesting discussions about whether we should focus more on how to prioritize
the many projects that would cost in total hundreds of millions of dollars, or
focus more on increasing the near-term funding for these projects to reduce the
need to prioritize by doing more projects concurrently rather than sequentially.
To give this some scale, current
funding is approximately $7 million annually. City staff predicts that it may
take more than 50 years to complete the work, and that upping funding to $11
million per year would allow completion in around 30 to 35 years. The total
cost is estimated at roughly $350 million for about 30 projects.
Per the 2014 Flood Impact
Survey of those drainages impacted by the 2013 flood, damage was over $176
million in 2014 dollars, about $215 million now.
Flood insurance paid for
about 14% of estimated damage, and about 28% of actual claims. Sewer backups
and groundwater infiltration caused extensive basement damage not covered by
flood insurance, and localized street flooding outside the “100-year” floodplain
meant many affected property owners didn’t have flood insurance. Unaccounted
damages included cost of being displaced from peoples’ homes and loss in market
value.
What pushes me toward
moving as quickly as possible is simple logic: The sooner the flood work is
done, the less likely it is that a flood will occur before those improvements
are made. If not done, flood damage plus potentially more costly flood
improvements could close to double the total cost.
For me, this swings the
debate toward getting the job done as quickly as reasonably possible. Also,
flood insurance is likely to become more and more expensive and less and less
available, because climate change is radically increasing both the magnitude
and frequency of floods, affecting both FEMA and private insurers.
Trying to prioritize
projects is hard. It sounds easy — just do standard cost/benefit analyses. But
frequently, both the locations and the values are hard to compare. For some
locational examples, where I live, we have King Gulch on one side, which is
relatively easy to flood-proof because it’s small, and existing channels handle
much of the problem, though it still flooded many houses because some stretches
don’t have adequate channels or pipes.
On the other side is
Bluebell Creek, which is very difficult to deal with, since it runs mostly in
small channels through people’s yards. Other areas have much more complex
design issues.
On the “values” side, for
example, there are issues around social equity, because just analyzing damage
costs puts more emphasis on well-to-do neighborhoods, whereas, for example,
using dwelling unit numbers tends to focus more on less well-off areas.
And then there are critical
facilities, historic sites, cultural resources and environmental issues to
consider and protect. Just sticking numbers on each of these may make the
evaluation math look easy, but it avoids facing the incommensurate nature of
the underlying values.
Accelerating the process of
building the infrastructure doesn’t necessarily require big increases in
utility rates. The same work gets done; it’s just a matter of how fast. As an
“enterprise fund,” the utility can borrow relatively cheaply and interest rates
are still pretty low.
Additional staffing for
such a 10- to 20-year project could be experienced engineers looking for an
interesting project to fill the time before or during retirement.
The basic sequencing of
projects might be:
Life/safety: early
warning system with full coverage, street analysis regarding closures, escape
routes, etc., with informational brochures supplied to residents.
Sewer pipes and stormwater systems: projects
to line, clear, rebuild, etc. These are already scheduled and funds are
available.
Flood control: organize the projects, ensuring that they both
provide adequate and cost-effective protection (not like the University of
Colorado Boulder South Campus, which is neither), while meeting other relevant
values.
Bottom line: I don’t think anyone wants to be in the position of dealing with another 2013-size flood, which could happen in any year, and have to say, “We could have prevented the damage to your residence or business on Drainage X, but we didn’t because we didn’t want to raise the fees or borrow the money. But now we need to fix the damage and do the flood improvements, which may be more expensive and extensive.”
So, everything else being
equal, faster is better.